Friday's payroll report likely to quickly bring the market back to realization that fighting the Fed still remains a fool's game

January 2023

The Federal Reserve wants American companies to keep cutting jobs
Stocks will struggle until the Federal Reserve adds liquidity back to the markets

December 2022

Without liquidity coming, expect rough start for risk assets to start the New Year.

November 2022

Fed has another important decision tomorrow and the market is running with the idea that they are ready to "step down" the hiking path. As Lee Corso…
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September 2022

Expect risk asset markets to make new lows in the coming weeks as the Fed pushes to get ahead of the market on a tightening agenda to stomp out…

August 2022

A country's cost of capital and FX value is driving by its proximity to upstream resources thanks to Putin. Out with the central bankers, in with the…

July 2022

The gap between growth deterioration and Fed's ability to address it is too wide for risk markets at this point. Expect Fed pushback next week to market…
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Pushing out the time toward Fed pausing will again be negative for risk assets
After a 6 month period as Substacker, I am now taking my musings over to my own Slack Channel to provide outsourced macro consulting services and trade…

June 2022

While Powell fashions himself to be Volcker 2.0, structural differences in the labor market today vs. back in the late 1970s are a major blind spot…

May 2022

Powell speaks today. Will he wear his traditional dovish cap to buy more time for inflation to naturally fall or will he go for the "win" to stop the…